May 28, 2025
IndexBox has just published a new report: Europe – Refined Olive Oil – Market Analysis, Forecast, Size, Trends And Insights.
The European olive oil market is expected to experience growth in both volume and value over the period from 2024 to 2035. With an anticipated CAGR of +0.5% in volume and +2.0% in value, the market is poised to meet the increasing demand for refined olive oil in the region. By the end of 2035, the market is forecasted to reach 1.6M tons in volume and $12.1B in value.
Market Forecast
Driven by increasing demand for refined olive oil in Europe, the market is expected to continue an upward consumption trend over the next decade. Market performance is forecast to retain its current trend pattern, expanding with an anticipated CAGR of +0.5% for the period from 2024 to 2035, which is projected to bring the market volume to 1.6M tons by the end of 2035.
In value terms, the market is forecast to increase with an anticipated CAGR of +2.0% for the period from 2024 to 2035, which is projected to bring the market value to $12.1B (in nominal wholesale prices) by the end of 2035.
ConsumptionEurope’s Consumption of Refined Olive Oil
In 2024, the amount of refined olive oil consumed in Europe shrank slightly to 1.6M tons, stabilizing at the previous year. In general, consumption, however, recorded a relatively flat trend pattern. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2021 when the consumption volume increased by 7.5% against the previous year. As a result, consumption reached the peak volume of 1.6M tons; afterwards, it flattened through to 2024.
The revenue of the refined olive oil market in Europe expanded significantly to $9.7B in 2024, with an increase of 13% against the previous year. This figure reflects the total revenues of producers and importers (excluding logistics costs, retail marketing costs, and retailers’ margins, which will be included in the final consumer price). The total consumption indicated a tangible increase from 2013 to 2024: its value increased at an average annual rate of +4.0% over the last eleven years. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2024 figures, consumption increased by +63.5% against 2020 indices. Over the period under review, the market reached the peak level in 2024 and is likely to see gradual growth in years to come.
Consumption By Country
The countries with the highest volumes of consumption in 2024 were Spain (286K tons), Germany (247K tons) and Russia (216K tons), with a combined 48% share of total consumption. France, Italy, Poland, Romania, Ukraine, the Netherlands and Belgium lagged somewhat behind, together accounting for a further 32%.
From 2013 to 2024, the most notable rate of growth in terms of consumption, amongst the key consuming countries, was attained by Italy (with a CAGR of +8.5%), while consumption for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.
In value terms, the largest refined olive oil markets in Europe were Germany ($1.9B), Spain ($1.6B) and France ($1.5B), together accounting for 52% of the total market. Russia, Italy, Poland, the Netherlands, Belgium, Ukraine and Romania lagged somewhat behind, together comprising a further 30%.
Among the main consuming countries, Italy, with a CAGR of +16.0%, saw the highest growth rate of market size over the period under review, while market for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.
In 2024, the highest levels of refined olive oil per capita consumption was registered in Spain (6.1 kg per person), followed by Germany (3 kg per person), Belgium (2.6 kg per person) and France (2.4 kg per person), while the world average per capita consumption of refined olive oil was estimated at 2.1 kg per person.
In Spain, refined olive oil per capita consumption expanded at an average annual rate of +1.1% over the period from 2013-2024. The remaining consuming countries recorded the following average annual rates of per capita consumption growth: Germany (-0.2% per year) and Belgium (-1.4% per year).
ProductionEurope’s Production of Refined Olive Oil
In 2024, production of refined olive oil was finally on the rise to reach 1.7M tons for the first time since 2021, thus ending a two-year declining trend. In general, production showed a relatively flat trend pattern. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2020 when the production volume increased by 8.5% against the previous year. Over the period under review, production hit record highs at 1.8M tons in 2021; however, from 2022 to 2024, production remained at a lower figure.
In value terms, refined olive oil production surged to $11.8B in 2024 estimated in export price. The total production indicated a prominent increase from 2013 to 2024: its value increased at an average annual rate of +5.2% over the last eleven years. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2024 figures, production increased by +84.2% against 2019 indices. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2023 when the production volume increased by 26%. The level of production peaked in 2024 and is expected to retain growth in the immediate term.
Production By Country
The countries with the highest volumes of production in 2024 were Spain (459K tons), Germany (242K tons) and Russia (213K tons), together comprising 54% of total production. France, Italy, Poland, Greece, Romania, Ukraine and Portugal lagged somewhat behind, together accounting for a further 30%.
From 2013 to 2024, the most notable rate of growth in terms of production, amongst the key producing countries, was attained by Portugal (with a CAGR of +12.6%), while production for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.
ImportsEurope’s Imports of Refined Olive Oil
In 2024, the amount of refined olive oil imported in Europe declined to 149K tons, which is down by -12.1% compared with the previous year. Over the period under review, imports showed a relatively flat trend pattern. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2022 when imports increased by 32%. As a result, imports attained the peak of 198K tons. From 2023 to 2024, the growth of imports remained at a somewhat lower figure.
In value terms, refined olive oil imports reached $1.1B in 2024. In general, imports, however, saw resilient growth. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2022 with an increase of 51%. Over the period under review, imports hit record highs in 2024 and are likely to continue growth in the immediate term.
Imports By Country
Spain (35K tons) and Italy (35K tons) were the key importers of refined olive oil in 2024, amounting to approx. 23% and 23% of total imports, respectively. Portugal (20K tons) held a 13% share (based on physical terms) of total imports, which put it in second place, followed by the UK (13%). The Netherlands (5.7K tons), Germany (5.7K tons), France (3.9K tons), Ireland (2.9K tons), Belgium (2.9K tons) and Russia (2.4K tons) held a little share of total imports.
From 2013 to 2024, the biggest increases were recorded for Spain (with a CAGR of +9.3%), while purchases for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.
In value terms, the largest refined olive oil importing markets in Europe were Italy ($258M), Spain ($221M) and the UK ($169M), with a combined 60% share of total imports.
In terms of the main importing countries, Spain, with a CAGR of +20.5%, recorded the highest rates of growth with regard to the value of imports, over the period under review, while purchases for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.
Import Prices By Country
The import price in Europe stood at $7,249 per ton in 2024, increasing by 26% against the previous year. In general, the import price enjoyed resilient growth. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2023 when the import price increased by 53%. The level of import peaked in 2024 and is likely to continue growth in years to come.
Prices varied noticeably by country of destination: amid the top importers, the country with the highest price was the Netherlands ($8,709 per ton), while Ireland ($5,050 per ton) was amongst the lowest.
From 2013 to 2024, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Spain (+10.2%), while the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.
ExportsEurope’s Exports of Refined Olive Oil
In 2024, the amount of refined olive oil exported in Europe reached 307K tons, flattening at 2023 figures. The total export volume increased at an average annual rate of +1.3% over the period from 2013 to 2024; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2020 with an increase of 33% against the previous year. The volume of export peaked at 419K tons in 2022; however, from 2023 to 2024, the exports failed to regain momentum.
In value terms, refined olive oil exports surged to $2.6B in 2024. Overall, exports recorded a strong increase. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2022 when exports increased by 36%. Over the period under review, the exports reached the maximum in 2024 and are likely to see gradual growth in the near future.
Exports By Country
Spain represented the largest exporter of refined olive oil in Europe, with the volume of exports finishing at 208K tons, which was near 68% of total exports in 2024. It was distantly followed by Italy (46K tons), Portugal (31K tons) and Greece (15K tons), together generating a 30% share of total exports.
From 2013 to 2024, average annual rates of growth with regard to refined olive oil exports from Spain stood at +2.8%. At the same time, Portugal (+3.2%) displayed positive paces of growth. Moreover, Portugal emerged as the fastest-growing exporter exported in Europe, with a CAGR of +3.2% from 2013-2024. Greece experienced a relatively flat trend pattern. By contrast, Italy (-3.5%) illustrated a downward trend over the same period. While the share of Spain (+10 p.p.) and Portugal (+1.9 p.p.) increased significantly in terms of the total exports from 2013-2024, the share of Italy (-10.6 p.p.) displayed negative dynamics. The shares of the other countries remained relatively stable throughout the analyzed period.
In value terms, Spain ($1.7B) remains the largest refined olive oil supplier in Europe, comprising 68% of total exports. The second position in the ranking was held by Italy ($436M), with a 17% share of total exports. It was followed by Portugal, with an 8.8% share.
In Spain, refined olive oil exports expanded at an average annual rate of +10.6% over the period from 2013-2024. The remaining exporting countries recorded the following average annual rates of exports growth: Italy (+3.4% per year) and Portugal (+7.2% per year).
Export Prices By Country
The export price in Europe stood at $8,310 per ton in 2024, surging by 29% against the previous year. In general, the export price recorded a prominent expansion. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2023 when the export price increased by 58% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the export prices attained the maximum in 2024 and is likely to see gradual growth in the immediate term.
Prices varied noticeably by country of origin: amid the top suppliers, the country with the highest price was Italy ($9,537 per ton), while Greece ($6,187 per ton) was amongst the lowest.
From 2013 to 2024, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Spain (+7.5%), while the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.
Source: IndexBox Market Intelligence Platform