Apr 20, 2025
IndexBox has just published a new report: Middle East – Refined Olive Oil – Market Analysis, Forecast, Size, Trends And Insights.
Driven by increasing demand for refined olive oil in the Middle East, the market is expected to continue growing over the next decade. By 2035, market volume is projected to reach 470K tons with a value of $1.6B. Performance is forecasted to slightly decelerate during this period.
Market Forecast
Driven by increasing demand for refined olive oil in the Middle East, the market is expected to continue an upward consumption trend over the next decade. Market performance is forecast to decelerate, expanding with an anticipated CAGR of +0.6% for the period from 2024 to 2035, which is projected to bring the market volume to 470K tons by the end of 2035.
In value terms, the market is forecast to increase with an anticipated CAGR of +1.3% for the period from 2024 to 2035, which is projected to bring the market value to $1.6B (in nominal wholesale prices) by the end of 2035.
ConsumptionMiddle East’s Consumption of Refined Olive Oil
Refined olive oil consumption declined slightly to 439K tons in 2024, with a decrease of -4.2% compared with 2023 figures. The total consumption indicated a slight increase from 2013 to 2024: its volume increased at an average annual rate of +1.7% over the last eleven years. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2024 figures, consumption increased by +52.6% against 2018 indices. Over the period under review, consumption reached the peak volume at 459K tons in 2023, and then fell in the following year.
The size of the refined olive oil market in the Middle East fell to $1.4B in 2024, which is down by -2.3% against the previous year. This figure reflects the total revenues of producers and importers (excluding logistics costs, retail marketing costs, and retailers’ margins, which will be included in the final consumer price). The market value increased at an average annual rate of +1.1% from 2013 to 2024; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Over the period under review, the market attained the peak level at $1.4B in 2023, and then contracted slightly in the following year.
Consumption By Country
The countries with the highest volumes of consumption in 2024 were Iran (99K tons), Saudi Arabia (92K tons) and Oman (51K tons), together accounting for 55% of total consumption.
From 2013 to 2024, the most notable rate of growth in terms of consumption, amongst the leading consuming countries, was attained by Oman (with a CAGR of +25.8%), while consumption for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.
In value terms, the largest refined olive oil markets in the Middle East were Iran ($419M), Saudi Arabia ($268M) and Israel ($149M), with a combined 59% share of the total market. Oman, Turkey, Iraq and Yemen lagged somewhat behind, together comprising a further 24%.
In terms of the main consuming countries, Oman, with a CAGR of +25.0%, recorded the highest rates of growth with regard to market size over the period under review, while market for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.
In 2024, the highest levels of refined olive oil per capita consumption was registered in Oman (9.3 kg per person), followed by Israel (3.5 kg per person), Saudi Arabia (2.5 kg per person) and Iran (1.1 kg per person), while the world average per capita consumption of refined olive oil was estimated at 1.2 kg per person.
From 2013 to 2024, the average annual rate of growth in terms of the refined olive oil per capita consumption in Oman amounted to +21.6%. The remaining consuming countries recorded the following average annual rates of per capita consumption growth: Israel (+2.2% per year) and Saudi Arabia (+6.2% per year).
ProductionMiddle East’s Production of Refined Olive Oil
In 2024, approx. 543K tons of refined olive oil were produced in the Middle East; growing by 6.4% against the year before. The total production indicated a measured increase from 2013 to 2024: its volume increased at an average annual rate of +2.6% over the last eleven years. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2024 figures, production decreased by -5.7% against 2022 indices. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2022 when the production volume increased by 29% against the previous year. As a result, production attained the peak volume of 576K tons. From 2023 to 2024, production growth failed to regain momentum.
In value terms, refined olive oil production expanded sharply to $1.7B in 2024 estimated in export price. The total production indicated a mild increase from 2013 to 2024: its value increased at an average annual rate of +1.7% over the last eleven-year period. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2024 figures, production decreased by -6.2% against 2022 indices. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2022 when the production volume increased by 33%. As a result, production reached the peak level of $1.8B. From 2023 to 2024, production growth failed to regain momentum.
Production By Country
The countries with the highest volumes of production in 2024 were Oman (119K tons), Iran (99K tons) and Saudi Arabia (90K tons), with a combined 57% share of total production.
From 2013 to 2024, the biggest increases were recorded for Oman (with a CAGR of +38.2%), while production for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.
ImportsMiddle East’s Imports of Refined Olive Oil
In 2024, the amount of refined olive oil imported in the Middle East totaled 7.1K tons, increasing by 10% against the previous year’s figure. Over the period under review, imports, however, saw a noticeable decrease. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2016 when imports increased by 23%. As a result, imports reached the peak of 17K tons. From 2017 to 2024, the growth of imports remained at a lower figure.
In value terms, refined olive oil imports shrank notably to $29M in 2024. Overall, imports, however, continue to indicate a noticeable contraction. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2022 with an increase of 55% against the previous year. Over the period under review, imports attained the peak figure at $57M in 2016; however, from 2017 to 2024, imports stood at a somewhat lower figure.
Imports By Country
Saudi Arabia (1.9K tons) and Kuwait (1.5K tons) represented the key importers of refined olive oil in 2024, resulting at near 27% and 22% of total imports, respectively. It was distantly followed by Iraq (666 tons), the United Arab Emirates (600 tons), Qatar (557 tons), Israel (543 tons) and Yemen (431 tons), together committing a 40% share of total imports.
From 2013 to 2024, the most notable rate of growth in terms of purchases, amongst the leading importing countries, was attained by Qatar (with a CAGR of +31.8%), while imports for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.
In value terms, the largest refined olive oil importing markets in the Middle East were Saudi Arabia ($6.7M), Kuwait ($4M) and Israel ($3.7M), with a combined 50% share of total imports. The United Arab Emirates, Iraq, Qatar and Yemen lagged somewhat behind, together accounting for a further 32%.
Qatar, with a CAGR of +43.5%, recorded the highest growth rate of the value of imports, among the main importing countries over the period under review, while purchases for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.
Import Prices By Country
The import price in the Middle East stood at $4,063 per ton in 2024, reducing by -32% against the previous year. Import price indicated mild growth from 2013 to 2024: its price increased at an average annual rate of +1.2% over the last eleven years. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2024 figures, refined olive oil import price increased by +31.5% against 2020 indices. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2023 when the import price increased by 51% against the previous year. As a result, import price reached the peak level of $5,975 per ton, and then declined remarkably in the following year.
Prices varied noticeably by country of destination: amid the top importers, the country with the highest price was Israel ($6,889 per ton), while Kuwait ($2,656 per ton) was amongst the lowest.
From 2013 to 2024, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Qatar (+8.9%), while the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.
ExportsMiddle East’s Exports of Refined Olive Oil
In 2024, refined olive oil exports in the Middle East surged to 111K tons, with an increase of 91% compared with the previous year’s figure. Over the period under review, exports continue to indicate a prominent increase. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2022 with an increase of 612%. As a result, the exports attained the peak of 177K tons. From 2023 to 2024, the growth of the exports remained at a somewhat lower figure.
In value terms, refined olive oil exports expanded remarkably to $271M in 2024. Overall, exports continue to indicate a perceptible expansion. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2022 with an increase of 196% against the previous year. The level of export peaked in 2024 and is expected to retain growth in the immediate term.
Exports By Country
Oman represented the largest exporting country with an export of about 68K tons, which recorded 62% of total exports. Turkey (30K tons) took a 27% share (based on physical terms) of total exports, which put it in second place, followed by Iraq (5.3%). The following exporters – Syrian Arab Republic (2K tons) and Lebanon (1.7K tons) – each amounted to a 3.3% share of total exports.
Oman was also the fastest-growing in terms of the refined olive oil exports, with a CAGR of +190.7% from 2013 to 2024. At the same time, Iraq (+52.0%) displayed positive paces of growth. Syrian Arab Republic experienced a relatively flat trend pattern. By contrast, Turkey (-4.6%) and Lebanon (-6.8%) illustrated a downward trend over the same period. While the share of Oman (+62 p.p.) and Iraq (+5.2 p.p.) increased significantly in terms of the total exports from 2013-2024, the share of Syrian Arab Republic (-1.7 p.p.), Lebanon (-4.9 p.p.) and Turkey (-60.5 p.p.) displayed negative dynamics.
In value terms, Turkey ($191M) remains the largest refined olive oil supplier in the Middle East, comprising 71% of total exports. The second position in the ranking was held by Oman ($45M), with a 17% share of total exports. It was followed by Syrian Arab Republic, with a 3.1% share.
From 2013 to 2024, the average annual rate of growth in terms of value in Turkey totaled +2.0%. The remaining exporting countries recorded the following average annual rates of exports growth: Oman (+177.5% per year) and Syrian Arab Republic (+9.1% per year).
Export Prices By Country
In 2024, the export price in the Middle East amounted to $2,450 per ton, with a decrease of -43.3% against the previous year. In general, the export price showed a slight slump. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2023 an increase of 233% against the previous year. As a result, the export price attained the peak level of $4,320 per ton, and then fell notably in the following year.
Prices varied noticeably by country of origin: amid the top suppliers, the country with the highest price was Turkey ($6,416 per ton), while Oman ($661 per ton) was amongst the lowest.
From 2013 to 2024, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Syrian Arab Republic (+9.2%), while the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.
Source: IndexBox Market Intelligence Platform