Feb 24, 2026
IndexBox has just published a new report: United Kingdom – Olive Oil And Its Fractions – Market Analysis, Forecast, Size, Trends And Insights.
The UK olive oil market is forecast to grow to 43K tons ($425M) by 2035. In 2024, consumption rose to 41K tons, valued at $343M, driven by a 36% surge in import value to $396M. Spain is the dominant supplier, while domestic production is minimal and declining. Exports, primarily to Ireland, fell in volume but soared in value due to a 68% increase in average export price.
Key Findings
Market forecast to reach 43K tons and $425M by 2035, indicating steady growthUK heavily import-dependent, with Spain supplying 60% of volume and Italy commanding the highest import priceDomestic production is minor and declining, accounting for just over 1% of consumptionImport and export prices surged dramatically in 2024, by 35% and 68% respectivelyIreland is the primary export destination, receiving 67% of UK olive oil exports by volumeMarket Forecast
Driven by increasing demand for olive oil and its fractions in the UK, the market is expected to continue an upward consumption trend over the next decade. Market performance is forecast to retain its current trend pattern, expanding with an anticipated CAGR of +0.5% for the period from 2024 to 2035, which is projected to bring the market volume to 43K tons by the end of 2035.
In value terms, the market is forecast to increase with an anticipated CAGR of +2.0% for the period from 2024 to 2035, which is projected to bring the market value to $425M (in nominal wholesale prices) by the end of 2035.
ConsumptionUnited Kingdom’s Consumption of Olive Oil And Its Fractions
In 2024, consumption of olive oil and its fractions in the UK expanded sharply to 41K tons, picking up by 5.2% against 2023 figures. In general, consumption continues to indicate a relatively flat trend pattern. Over the period under review, consumption attained the peak volume at 49K tons in 2020; however, from 2021 to 2024, consumption remained at a lower figure.
The value of the olive oil market in the UK surged to $343M in 2024, picking up by 36% against the previous year. This figure reflects the total revenues of producers and importers (excluding logistics costs, retail marketing costs, and retailers’ margins, which will be included in the final consumer price). Over the period under review, consumption posted a buoyant increase. Over the period under review, the market hit record highs in 2024 and is likely to see gradual growth in the immediate term.
ProductionUnited Kingdom’s Production of Olive Oil And Its Fractions
In 2024, olive oil production in the UK dropped to 473 tons, waning by -1.8% against 2023 figures. Overall, production continues to indicate a noticeable reduction. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2023 with an increase of 3.7%. Olive oil production peaked at 648 tons in 2013; however, from 2014 to 2024, production failed to regain momentum.
In value terms, olive oil production surged to $3.6M in 2024 estimated in export price. In general, the total production indicated modest growth from 2013 to 2024: its value increased at an average annual rate of +1.6% over the last eleven years. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2024 figures, production increased by +56.5% against 2021 indices. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2019 when the production volume increased by 61%. As a result, production attained the peak level of $5.1M. From 2020 to 2024, production growth failed to regain momentum.
ImportsUnited Kingdom’s Imports of Olive Oil And Its Fractions
In 2024, approx. 41K tons of olive oil and its fractions were imported into the UK; increasing by 4.8% on 2023. In general, imports recorded a relatively flat trend pattern. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2022 when imports increased by 25%. Over the period under review, imports attained the maximum at 50K tons in 2020; however, from 2021 to 2024, imports stood at a somewhat lower figure.
In value terms, olive oil imports soared to $396M in 2024. Over the period under review, imports recorded a buoyant increase. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2022 when imports increased by 56%. Imports peaked in 2024 and are expected to retain growth in the near future.
Imports By Country
In 2024, Spain (25K tons) constituted the largest supplier of olive oil to the UK, accounting for a 60% share of total imports. Moreover, olive oil imports from Spain exceeded the figures recorded by the second-largest supplier, Italy (11K tons), twofold. Greece (4.5K tons) ranked third in terms of total imports with an 11% share.
From 2013 to 2024, the average annual growth rate of volume from Spain was relatively modest. The remaining supplying countries recorded the following average annual rates of imports growth: Italy (-1.7% per year) and Greece (+13.7% per year).
In value terms, Spain ($233M), Italy ($120M) and Greece ($32M) appeared to be the largest olive oil suppliers to the UK, with a combined 97% share of total imports.
In terms of the main suppliers, Greece, with a CAGR of +17.6%, recorded the highest growth rate of the value of imports, over the period under review, while purchases for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.
Import Prices By Country
The average olive oil import price stood at $9,634 per ton in 2024, surging by 35% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the import price recorded a resilient expansion. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2023 an increase of 36%. Over the period under review, average import prices attained the maximum in 2024 and is likely to see steady growth in years to come.
Prices varied noticeably by country of origin: amid the top importers, the country with the highest price was Italy ($11,440 per ton), while the price for Greece ($7,153 per ton) was amongst the lowest.
From 2013 to 2024, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Germany (+10.2%), while the prices for the other major suppliers experienced more modest paces of growth.
ExportsUnited Kingdom’s Exports of Olive Oil And Its Fractions
Olive oil exports from the UK fell to 1K tons in 2024, which is down by -12.1% against the previous year’s figure. In general, exports continue to indicate a noticeable reduction. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2014 when exports increased by 10%. As a result, the exports attained the peak of 1.5K tons. From 2015 to 2024, the growth of the exports failed to regain momentum.
In value terms, olive oil exports soared to $9.6M in 2024. Overall, total exports indicated a moderate increase from 2013 to 2024: its value increased at an average annual rate of +4.2% over the last eleven years. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2024 figures, exports increased by +78.0% against 2021 indices. As a result, the exports reached the peak and are likely to continue growth in the immediate term.
Exports By Country
Ireland (697 tons) was the main destination for olive oil exports from the UK, accounting for a 67% share of total exports. Moreover, olive oil exports to Ireland exceeded the volume sent to the second major destination, Italy (74 tons), ninefold. The Netherlands (32 tons) ranked third in terms of total exports with a 3.1% share.
From 2013 to 2024, the average annual growth rate of volume to Ireland was relatively modest. Exports to the other major destinations recorded the following average annual rates of exports growth: Italy (+55.4% per year) and the Netherlands (+11.0% per year).
In value terms, Ireland ($6.1M) remains the key foreign market for olive oil and its fractions exports from the UK, comprising 63% of total exports. The second position in the ranking was taken by Italy ($585K), with a 6.1% share of total exports. It was followed by Iceland, with a 3.4% share.
From 2013 to 2024, the average annual growth rate of value to Ireland stood at +6.7%. Exports to the other major destinations recorded the following average annual rates of exports growth: Italy (+57.1% per year) and Iceland (+60.7% per year).
Export Prices By Country
The average olive oil export price stood at $9,254 per ton in 2024, picking up by 68% against the previous year. Over the period under review, export price indicated buoyant growth from 2013 to 2024: its price increased at an average annual rate of +6.8% over the last eleven-year period. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2024 figures, olive oil export price increased by +110.0% against 2021 indices. As a result, the export price reached the peak level and is likely to continue growth in the immediate term.
Prices varied noticeably by country of destination: amid the top suppliers, the country with the highest price was the Czech Republic ($14,382 per ton), while the average price for exports to the Netherlands ($3,418 per ton) was amongst the lowest.
From 2013 to 2024, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was recorded for supplies to Poland (+9.2%), while the prices for the other major destinations experienced more modest paces of growth.
Source: IndexBox Market Intelligence Platform
This report provides a comprehensive view of the olive oil industry in the United Kingdom, tracking demand, supply, and trade flows across the national value chain. It explains how demand across key channels and end-use segments shapes consumption patterns, while also mapping the role of input availability, production efficiency, and regulatory standards on supply.
Beyond headline metrics, the study benchmarks prices, margins, and trade routes so you can see where value is created and how it moves between domestic suppliers and international partners. The analysis is designed to support strategic planning, market entry, portfolio prioritization, and risk management in the olive oil landscape in the United Kingdom.
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Key findings
Domestic demand is shaped by both household and industrial usage, with trade flows linking local supply to imports and exports.
Pricing dynamics reflect unit values, freight costs, exchange rates, and regulatory shifts that affect sourcing decisions.
Supply depends on input availability and production efficiency, creating a distinct national cost curve.
Market concentration varies by segment, creating different competitive landscapes and entry barriers.
The 2035 outlook highlights where capacity investment and demand growth are most aligned within the country.
Report scope
The report combines market sizing with trade intelligence and price analytics for the United Kingdom. It covers both historical performance and the forward outlook to 2035, allowing you to compare cycles, structural shifts, and policy impacts.
Market size and growth in value and volume terms
Consumption structure by end-use segments
Production capacity, output, and cost dynamics
Trade flows, exporters, importers, and balances
Price benchmarks, unit values, and margin signals
Competitive context and market entry conditions
Product coverageFCL 261 – Oil of Olives, VirginCountry coverageCountry profile and benchmarks
This report provides a consistent view of market size, trade balance, prices, and per-capita indicators for the United Kingdom. The profile highlights demand structure and trade position, enabling benchmarking against regional and global peers.
Methodology
The analysis is built on a multi-source framework that combines official statistics, trade records, company disclosures, and expert validation. Data are standardized, reconciled, and cross-checked to ensure consistency across time series.
International trade data (exports, imports, and mirror statistics)
National production and consumption statistics
Company-level information from financial filings and public releases
Price series and unit value benchmarks
Analyst review, outlier checks, and time-series validation
All data are normalized to a common product definition and mapped to a consistent set of codes. This ensures that comparisons across time are aligned and actionable.
Forecasts to 2035
The forecast horizon extends to 2035 and is based on a structured model that links olive oil demand and supply to macroeconomic indicators, trade patterns, and sector-specific drivers. The model captures both cyclical and structural factors and reflects known policy and technology shifts in the United Kingdom.
Historical baseline: 2012-2025
Forecast horizon: 2026-2035
Scenario-based sensitivity to income growth, substitution, and regulation
Capacity and investment outlook for major producing companies
Each projection is built from national historical patterns and the broader regional context, allowing the report to show where growth is concentrated and where risks are elevated.
Price analysis and trade dynamics
Prices are analyzed in detail, including export and import unit values, regional spreads, and changes in trade costs. The report highlights how seasonality, freight rates, exchange rates, and supply disruptions influence pricing and margins.
Price benchmarks by country and sub-region
Export and import unit value trends
Seasonality and calendar effects in trade flows
Price outlook to 2035 under baseline assumptions
Profiles of market participants
Key producers, exporters, and distributors are profiled with a focus on their operational scale, geographic footprint, product mix, and market positioning. This helps identify competitive pressure points, partnership opportunities, and routes to differentiation.
Business focus and production capabilities
Geographic reach and distribution networks
Cost structure and pricing strategy indicators
Compliance, certification, and sustainability context
How to use this report
Quantify domestic demand and identify the most attractive segments
Evaluate export opportunities and prioritize target destinations
Track price dynamics and protect margins
Benchmark performance against leading competitors
Build evidence-based forecasts for investment decisions
This report is designed for manufacturers, distributors, importers, wholesalers, investors, and advisors who need a clear, data-driven picture of olive oil dynamics in the United Kingdom.
FAQ
What is included in the olive oil market in the United Kingdom?
The market size aggregates consumption and trade data, presented in both value and volume terms.
How are the forecasts to 2035 built?
The projections combine historical trends with macroeconomic indicators, trade dynamics, and sector-specific drivers.
Does the report cover prices and margins?
Yes, it includes export and import unit values, regional spreads, and a pricing outlook to 2035.
Which benchmarks are included?
The report benchmarks market size, trade balance, prices, and per-capita indicators for the United Kingdom.
Can this report support market entry decisions?
Yes, it highlights demand hotspots, trade routes, pricing trends, and competitive context.
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